Meta shares plunged as much as 7% in after-hours trading on Wednesday, April 29, 2026, despite reporting a massive beat on both revenue and earnings. The decline mirrors a broader “investor revolt” against the astronomical cost of the AI arms race, with Meta now planning to spend more on infrastructure than any other Big Tech firm relative to its size.
1. The “Double Beat” vs. The Spending Spike
Meta’s core business remains exceptionally healthy, but the market’s focus has shifted entirely from current profits to future costs.
| Metric | Q1 2026 Actual | Analyst Estimate | Result |
| Revenue | $56.31 Billion | $55.6 Billion | Beat |
| Earnings Per Share (EPS) | $10.44 | $6.65 | Massive Beat |
| Ad Impressions | +19% | — | Strong |
| Capital Expenditure (Capex) | $125B–$145B (Full Year) | $115B–$135B | Shock Increase |
- The Capex Hike: Meta raised its full-year capital expenditure guidance by $10 billion at both ends of the range. CFO Susan Li cited “higher component pricing” (likely a reference to the global memory chip shortage) and a “historically intense” need for more data centers to support the Meta Superintelligence Labs.
- Tax Benefit Distortion: While the EPS beat looks historic, it was aided by a $8.03 billion income tax benefit. Excluding this, EPS would have been roughly $7.31, which is still a beat but less dramatic.
2. Zuckerberg’s “Personal Superintelligence” Vision
During the earnings call, CEO Mark Zuckerberg remained defiant about the spending, pitching a vision that extends far beyond chatbots.
- Frontier Models: Zuckerberg confirmed that the next set of even more advanced frontier models are already in training.
- Workforce Transformation: In a striking comment, he noted that AI is transforming Meta’s internal operations so dramatically that tasks once requiring “dozens of employees over months” are now being completed by “one or two people in a week.”
- The “No Roadmap” Risk: Investors were spooked when Zuckerberg admitted that Meta does not yet have a “fixed roadmap” for how every AI product will scale into a profit center, instead asking for patience as they climb the “scaling ladder.”
3. Family of Apps: Ads Still Dominant
Despite the AI focus, the “Family of Apps” (Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp) continues to provide the fuel for Meta’s ambitions.
- Daily Active People (DAP): Reached 3.56 billion in March 2026, up 4% year-over-year.
- Regional Growth: The US & Canada remains the largest revenue driver ($23.7B), but the Asia-Pacific region saw significant momentum, contributing $10.6B to the total.
- Ad Pricing: The average price per ad increased by 12%, signaling that Meta’s AI-powered ad-targeting algorithms are successfully driving better returns for advertisers.
4. Market Verdict: Meta vs. Google
The 7% drop is particularly painful for Meta as it contrasts sharply with Alphabet (Google), whose shares surged 7% on the same day.
“When Alphabet does it, everyone cheers, but when I do it, they dump me.” — Market sentiment summary for Meta, April 2026.
The difference lies in the Cloud. Google and Microsoft can show direct revenue from selling AI “compute” to other companies. Meta, which primarily uses AI to improve its own internal products, has a more difficult time proving the immediate ROI of a $145 billion annual investment.
