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India Halts Rare Earth Exports to Japan to Preserve Domestic Supply Amid China Risk

India has instructed state-run miner IREL to halt rare earth exports to Japan, reversing a 2012 agreement with Toyota Tsushoโ€™s Toyotsu Rare Earths India. The move, reported on June 13, aims to prioritize domestic needs and reduce dependency on Chinaโ€™s dominant rare-earth export regime


๐Ÿ” Why the Sudden Change?

Several factors fuel this decision:

  • China suspended rare-earth exports in April, disrupting global EV and tech supply chainsโ€”prompting urgent strategic recalibration
  • Japan imported over 1,000โ€ฏMT of neodymium from IREL in 2024โ€”about one-third of IRELโ€™s total output
  • India plans to scale up rare earth processing domestically, targeting 450โ€ฏMT of neodymium production in FY26 and doubling by 2030

๐Ÿญ Domestic Production Ambitions

India is ramping up its rare earth infrastructure:

  • IREL operates extraction plants in Odisha and refining in Kerala, with upcoming expansions waiting for statutory clearances
  • The government is offering fiscal incentives via the National Critical Mineral Mission to attract investment in magnet processing and manufacturing
  • A planned delegation to Beijing seeks to negotiate urgent supply for the auto sector, while long-term reliance on domestic capacity is pursued

๐Ÿค Implications for Indiaโ€“Japan Ties

  • The suspension targets a bilateral arrangement, so immediate cessation may require diplomatic negotiations, with officials emphasizing an amicable resolution .
  • India and Japan have previously agreed to a framework supplying 4,100โ€ฏMT of rare earths, representing about 10โ€“15% of Japanโ€™s peak demand
  • As part of Quad cooperation and Bhutan plans, Japan is investing in alternative supply chains, including facilities in India and broader Indo-Pacific partnerships

๐ŸŒ Why It Matters Globally

  • Global supply chain impact: This move adds pressure to global industries already feeling effects from Chinaโ€™s export restrictions
  • Strategic autonomy: By reducing reliance on China, India strengthens its position in critical mineral geopolitics .
  • EV and defense resilience: Neodymium magnets essential for EVs, wind turbines, and defense systems will now depend more on Indiaโ€™s domestic capacity business-standard

โœ… Final Take

With this move, India halts rare earth exports to Japan, signaling a strategic shift. In the short term, diplomatic discussions with Japan will determine the timeline. Longer term, India aims to build self-reliant supply chains and reduce vulnerability to global disruptionsโ€”marking a decisive step toward atmanirbhar critical minerals.

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