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U.S. Threatens More Tariffs on India if Trump–Putin Peace Talks Fail

As U.S.–Russia peace negotiations loom in Alaska, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent warned that India could face additional secondary tariffs if the talks do not lead to a resolution, heightening economic pressure tied to India’s Russian oil imports. Indiatimes


Tariff Threats Linked to Energy Diplomacy

  • The warning comes amid concerns over India’s increasing purchases of discounted Russian crude—now constituting 35–40% of its total oil imports, up from just 3% in 2021.
  • The United States has already imposed a combined 50% tariff on Indian imports—25% as a reciprocal measure, and an additional 25% over India’s continued energy and defense dealings with Russia.

Stakes Ahead of the Alaska Summit

  • The escalation of tariffs hinges on the success of peace talks between President Trump and President Putin scheduled in Alaska—failure could trigger further economic retaliation against India.
  • A U.S. official emphasized that these secondary tariffs are contingent upon the outcome of the meeting, signaling that economic measures are being used as diplomatic leverage.

Impacts and Reactions

AreaDetails
India’s DefenseWith India reliant on Russian oil for affordability, the move underscores tension between strategic autonomy and growing economic costs.
Export DependencyThe looming 50% tariff, among the highest imposed on any U.S. trading partner, threatens export-heavy sectors like textiles and jewelry and could shave off up to 0.5 percentage points of GDP growth.
Geopolitical FrictionAmid stalled trade talks, New Delhi has characterized U.S. actions as unjustified, emphasizing its need to secure affordable energy for its population.

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