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Government Lifts Cap on Ethanol Production, Powering Sugar Stocks Higher

The Indian government has removed the cap on ethanol production for the Ethanol Supply Year (ESY) 2025-26, allowing sugar mills and distilleries to freely produce ethanol from sugarcane juice, syrup, and both B-Heavy and C-Heavy molasses. This marks a complete lift of quantitative restrictions compared to prior years

Policy Details and Market Reaction

  • Expanded production freedom: Starting this year, there will be no restrictions on ethanol output derived from diverse sugarcane derivatives, reflecting strengthened confidence in sugar availability
  • Sugar stocks climb: Following the announcement, shares of Rajshree Sugars, Balrampur Chini Mills, Shree Renuka, and other major players surged—some by as much as 20%—due to optimistic revenue outlook tied to increased ethanol demand

Why This Matters

  • Ethanol blending push: India aims to reach 20% ethanol blending in petrol by 2025-26. Removing the cap provides necessary supply-side support to sustain and exceed this target
  • Farmer and industry benefits: The sugar industry hailed the move as a “jackpot for farmers,” promising timely cane payments, price stability, and improved margins from ethanol production.
  • Balanced in energy mix: Alongside ethanol policy, India is redirecting surplus rice—nearly 5.2 million metric tons—towards ethanol, helping manage agri-stocks and accelerate renewable fuel adoption.Reuters

Summary Table

FactorInsight
Freedom for producersUnrestricted ethanol production from sugar derivatives opens new quarters.
Stock market responseSugar stocks spiked up to 20% on bullish outlook.
Renewable goalsSupports India’s bold ethanol blending ambitions.
Farmer upliftmentPromises better cane prices and assured payments.

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